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22 Jan
Posted by Sensei @ 7:40 pm on Thursday, January 22nd, 2009 in Leveraged ETFs, Leveraged Funds, Solar Stocks, Technical Analysis, Trades
Yesterday I was doing great, if I close out at the close. Today I start out in the hole. Then as I see things ticking buy signals I’m in and catch the whole rally up. The problem is that the rally doesn’t stick and I didn’t sell everything. I did sell some though. My GS, FAS, and covered SRS. However, I let LVS linger a bit too long, but still closed profitable, as well as C. My problems today revolve around the choppy tape. I was in and out of trades churning. Today had to be one of the hardest days to trade that I’ve seen – at least for my timeframes. If you are a 1 and 3 min trader today might have been amazing movement, but for anything larger than that the range was too small and moved way too fast.
Overall lost 6% in the RUT, 3% in the NDX, and 3% in the SPX. The day trades overall were a loss. If I sold on the rally highs I would have had a huge gain gotten out of the hole from the overnight debacle that was GNK/TBSI.
One stock I’m holding is SOL and I remained long indexes and not comfortable about it. I may sell tomorrow morning.
The one positive is that the VIX is trending down if you look at the MACD after a brief move upwards. MACD histogram crossovers through the 0 line with the VIX I find to be very reliable for market direction. I missed the last one that turned up. This final drop in price coupled with the weak move up in the VIX may be the end of it when it ends.
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