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09 Jun 6月 9日
Posted by Sensei @ 1:49 pm on Monday, June 9th, 2008 in张贴博士@下午1时49分在周一, 2008年6月9日在 Market Comments 市场评论
I thought the market was going to fall off a cliff the way it sold off midday.我认为市场是要跌落悬崖的方式卖掉了中午。 However, it was saved.不过,保存它。 The NDX and RUT did have a nasty day today, but rallied to close in more normal fashion.该ndx和车辙也有一个恶劣的天,今天,但反弹关闭在比较正常的时装。
I think the very short term (1-2 days) we will get a bounce.我觉得非常短期( 1-2天) ,我们会得到反弹。
Typically when the volatility indexes like VXN and VIX get outside two bollinger bands in either direction it sets up a 1 day reversal at a minimum.通常,当波动指标一样, vxn和VIX读数得到以外的两个博林杰阶在任一方向,它集了一天逆转,在最低限度。 In extreme cases, using this volatility stretching reversal technique can be trampled in such cases like late 2007.在极端情况下,使用这种波动拉伸逆转技术可以践踏在这种情况下,像2007年年底。 However, when the markets are in a trading range it tends to work well.然而,当市场正处于一个交易区间往往工作。 I don’t use it solely as a decision, but when you add everything you trust altogether and this agrees, I tend to take the trade.我不使用它纯粹是作为一个决定,但是当你添加的一切您信任的,这完全同意,我倾向于采取的贸易。 Click on the charts for the full picture.按一下图表,为全面图片。
Now any movement higher from here in the indexes should then be shorted as short term trend is typically not done, but it will be close to being done.现在,任何运动的更高的从这里,在指标然后应缩短为短期的趋势是通常不这样做,但将接近正在做。 Therefore the coming sell off after the next bounce (hopefully for me tomorrow), should be bought.因此,未来出售后,未来反弹(希望我的明天) ,应该买。 Whichever way you like to do it.哪一个您喜欢的方式去做。 Ladder in, timing it right, whatever.在阶梯,时间,它的权利,无论。
However, that short term move to the downside will also probably be limited to 100 pts or less.不过,短期内搬到坏处也将可能有限,以100的积分或更少。 Positive divergences may develop at that time in the indicators and will be something to watch for at that time.积极的分歧有可能发展在一段时间内的指标和将一些观赏,为在这个时间。
I tried sniping CPST today that was a mistake.我试图狙击cpst今天是一个错误。 Lost 3%失去了3 %
Sold ABAT today for a 4% loss.出售阿伯特今天为4 %的损失。
ABP continues to perform for me.动态血压继续履行对我来说。
JRCC continues to perform for others. jrcc继续履行为他人。
I remained in cash during the day in the indexes, but went long heavily at the close in the NDX and RUT for a 1-2 day trade if and when profits are there.我仍然在现金在白天,在指标的,但到长期大量在密切,在ndx和车辙为1-2天,如果贸易和利润时,是否有。
Tags:标签: abat阿伯特 , , cpst , , ndx , , rut车辙 , , vix波动率指数 , , vxn
2 Responses 2回应
Sia 新航
June 9th, 2008 at 9:42 pm 2008年6月9日在下午9点42分
1 1No (significant) bounce for you.没有(显着)退回给你。
Sensei 博士
June 10th, 2008 at 4:53 am 2008年6月10日在上午04时53分
2 2Nope….this morning was the better entry.. nope … 。今天上午是更好地进入..
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