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09 Jun 6月 9日
Posted by Sensei @ 1:49 pm on Monday, June 9th, 2008 in張貼博士@下午1時49分在週一, 2008年6月9日在 Market Comments 市場評論
I thought the market was going to fall off a cliff the way it sold off midday.我認為市場是要跌落懸崖的方式賣掉了中午。 However, it was saved.不過,保存它。 The NDX and RUT did have a nasty day today, but rallied to close in more normal fashion.該ndx和車轍也有一個惡劣的天,今天,但反彈關閉在比較正常的時裝。
I think the very short term (1-2 days) we will get a bounce.我覺得非常短期( 1-2天) ,我們會得到反彈。
Typically when the volatility indexes like VXN and VIX get outside two bollinger bands in either direction it sets up a 1 day reversal at a minimum.通常,當波動指標一樣, vxn和VIX讀數得到以外的兩個博林杰階在任一方向,它集了一天逆轉,在最低限度。 In extreme cases, using this volatility stretching reversal technique can be trampled in such cases like late 2007.在極端情況下,使用這種波動拉伸逆轉技術可以踐踏在這種情況下,像2007年年底。 However, when the markets are in a trading range it tends to work well.然而,當市場正處於一個交易區間往往工作。 I don’t use it solely as a decision, but when you add everything you trust altogether and this agrees, I tend to take the trade.我不使用它純粹是作為一個決定,但是當你添加的一切您信任的,這完全同意,我傾向於採取貿易。 Click on the charts for the full picture.按一下圖表,為全面圖片。
Now any movement higher from here in the indexes should then be shorted as short term trend is typically not done, but it will be close to being done.現在,任何運動的更高的從這裡,在指標然後應縮短為短期的趨勢是通常不這樣做,但將接近正在做。 Therefore the coming sell off after the next bounce (hopefully for me tomorrow), should be bought.因此,未來出售後,未來反彈(希望我的明天) ,應該買。 Whichever way you like to do it.哪一個您喜歡的方式去做。 Ladder in, timing it right, whatever.在階梯,時間,它的權利,無論。
However, that short term move to the downside will also probably be limited to 100 pts or less.不過,短期內搬到壞處也將可能有限,以100的積分或更少。 Positive divergences may develop at that time in the indicators and will be something to watch for at that time.積極的分歧有可能發展在一段時間內的指標和將一些觀賞,為在這個時間。
I tried sniping CPST today that was a mistake.我試圖狙擊cpst今天是一個錯誤。 Lost 3%失去了3 %
Sold ABAT today for a 4% loss.出售阿伯特今天為4 %的損失。
ABP continues to perform for me.動態血壓繼續履行對我來說。
JRCC continues to perform for others. jrcc繼續履行為他人。
I remained in cash during the day in the indexes, but went long heavily at the close in the NDX and RUT for a 1-2 day trade if and when profits are there.我仍然在現金在白天,在指標的,但到長期大量在密切,在ndx和車轍為1-2天,如果貿易和利潤時,是否有。
Tags:標籤: abat阿伯特 , , cpst , , ndx , , rut車轍 , , vix波動率指數 , , vxn
2 Responses 2回應
Sia 新航
June 9th, 2008 at 9:42 pm 2008年6月9日在下午9點42分
1 1No (significant) bounce for you.沒有(顯著)退回給你。
Sensei 博士
June 10th, 2008 at 4:53 am 2008年6月10日在上午04時53分
2 2Nope….this morning was the better entry.. nope … 。今天上午是更好地進入..
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