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Homebuilder Stocks Are Rolling

DHI
LEN
KBH
HOV
BZH
GFA (Brazil home builder that looks like an excellent value play here.)
TOL
PHM

Don’t know if this trade is over or just getting started.



Bought More FRPT

Bought more FRPT on the gap lower this morning, also picked up some ROYL and BEXP.

Markets off the lows, I expect a close today that is higher than what we saw today at the lows of the morning.

What Rocked Today?

The market. 4% in the RUT and 1.5% in the NDX. It looks like Dell doesn’t look too hot AH and that might have an effect on the morning open.

FRPT - Rocked today, until after hours they mentioned they are restating a quarter from 2007. BS there, but this is what happens in these POS stocks. I want to see if the 21d ema holds. If that holds, I’m holding.

QCOR - Popped 4.36%

MRVL - Bounced.

BBY - Steady.

Still long.

I’m long the indexes and they are doing well today. Dow has hit +200 on the day. Double funds and leveraged ETF’s are doing well.

FRPT bought yesterday is having a minor breakout today. I’m expecting considerably more upside.

QCOR still performing.

MRVL bouncing.

Bought:
BBY - Charts look good.

I’m looking at CAKE, CPKI, RT, CPST again, CWTR, VIFL, UYG (Double financials ETF), and REV amongst others I come across in my searches today.

Indexes Worked, Stocks Not So Much

Indexes rallied today giving me 2.6% in the RUT and 1.5% in the NDX. That was nice, but we really haven’t made much progress to the upside yet. I say yet, because its possible that is coming in the next few weeks. Or I’m incorrect and I’ll eat my words.

During these past two weeks of malaise trend traders haven’t really had much to trend off. In fact, everything that rips dips, and vice versa. I think Quint Tatro said it best tonight, (I’m paraphrasing) that if your churning your capital right now, more importantly you could be using up your emotional capital and that will affect you from really jumping on the move when it gets rolling. In the past, I think this is what has bitten me in the ass. This time around though I’ve held through good and bad as long as my stuff says to stay long or short. During this same market trading time frames for stocks have had to be shortened. CALM, CPSL, RTK, etc.

SOLF - Stupid forced trade yesterday. Shouldn’t have taken it, but I ate my loss this afternoon. I waited to see if it would bounce. It didn’t and I took a 9.3% loss from yesterday - SUCKS.

Bought FRPT - Giving it another shot.

QCOR still hanging in there up some $, leveraged etfs UWM and QLD the combined trade between the two is breakeven, MRVL still have it - still have a 9% loss in it.

BTW DELL looks good tomorrow, but I called it back here.

Sold SOLF Taking The Lump Bought Another POS

I sold SOLF. I can’t wait around anymore. Took a 9% loss overnight. That bites, but its time to move on. Its definitely a value stock, and one if I wasn’t so “want gains now” minded I would hold on, but then I wouldn’t have any capability to buy crap that is actually moving. As I look at the 5 min chart on SOLF its finally starting to attack its 34 ema. A break and retest of that MA will be the first sign if its moving higher today and maybe it will close the gap and screw me over. It wouldn’t surprise me.

I re-bought FRPT. You might remember this was a similar thing I did with CPSL before it popped. I bought it, then sold it, then re-bought CPSL because the chart solidified its test and was ready to move higher. I think FRPT is now in that same position CPSL was in. A successful test of the 21 dema and moving higher to test recent highs.

RUT and NDX doing well today. RUT 3% right now, NDX 2%. Nice.

Cashed in the CPSL trade today. Normally I’d keep this sucker running, but apparently its a trader’s market now. You are probably hearing it all over the place. Take the gains while you got em. However, this type of market is likely to break into a trending market sometime soon. At least thats my bet. CPSL was good for more than 8% today. Wish it would trend though. Sykes is yapping to short it soon though so glad to have taken the poppage.

RUT closed up

I sold my CALM position today shortly after buying QCOR. I got out @ 41.22 for a loss of 6%+ I misstated the loss in the comments section of the post earlier today.

Bought: SOLF for an overnight trade. Lets see what happens tomorrow. Vectorvest states that the PE of SOLF is a whopping 3.19! I didn’t realize what a cheap growth stock this is. Karen Finerman should clue us in on why its not a value stock.

I’m still long the NDX and RUT.

Side note: How many Olympic divers during the Olympics used a Shamwow to dry off?

Bought QCOR

In @ 5.2, has since moved 7 pennies.

Part of the biotech sector uptrend, nice daily breakout happening today.

I contemplated between adding to CALM or buying QCOR, and since CALM is acting $hitty, this is where I went. adding to sectors that are holding up.

Sold CPSL For A 8% Gain

I’m so damn chicken right now to hang onto CPSL. Any rip has been met with vicious selling and CPSL looks like its running into some now. That might not last and it might go back up, but I’m not taking chances.

Sold RT For A Loss

Sold RT for a loss of 6.3%. The market is crushing any sector that turned up.

Wow Today Sucked Badly Aside From CPSL

The market just flat out tanked today. It was on low volume, it was on news that seemed to be old.

I got hit with losses of around 4.6% in the RUT and 4% in the NDX. Ughhhh what a way to start off the week. I’ll tell you what though I’m still long, but am very close to potentially dropping it and going short. If that happens, I’d anticipate things could get ugly and ugly fast. I don’t want things to turn down here, and we do have the rest of the week to recover, but I’ll be jumping on the first short bus heading to redville if my “stuff” turns down.

CPSL did work today quite well actually up 10.4% today. CPSL tends to have a break out day followed by an even larger up day the next. So we’ll see what tomorrow brings. In the past I have taken gains on this breakout day, but I didn’t sell any portion of it today.

So right now I’m a little scared to see how this week ends…but for now I’m hanging onto being long.

CPSL Is Smoking Higher Today

Currently up 8.5% on the day CPSL (China Precision Steel) is seeing some heavy morning volume. Check the 5min volume bars.

I’m up over 10% on it right now. I bought more CPSL at around 5.38 as well.

What Have I Been Saying?

What have I been saying for 2 weeks?
Hint:
B _ _ _ h _ W _ a _ n _ s s!

What caused the rally today? Was it Buffett this morning? Was it Bernanke? Was it bullshit? Yes the answer is bullshit, because neither of the two stories the financial media are pinning this move on were the reason. The market was going to do that move anyways regardless if Becky Quick does an interview with Warren Buffett on a lovely Omaha morning, live on Squawk Box before the Opening Bell with Mark Haynes and Erin Burnett. No. The market doesn’t move on that. People will attach newsbites as the reason the market is moving from point A to point B and that crap will constantly confuse you.

Bought RT.

For some reason this market is not selling off the way it could and the way it should if this market is tanking. Instead, to me it looks like a normal, rational, pullback, after an otherwise huge upward move.

So I still stand by my mantra, buy the weakness.

PLUG - Working pretty well, up 3% on the trade.

CPSL - I REBOUGHT CPSL. I like the way the charts are setting up again. In @ 4.85

CALM - I’m now down 4% on the trade. From up 9% to down 4%. I’m not ready to let it go yet.

The UWM and QLD position I’m now down around 1.5% average.

MRVL - Flat on the position.

Buying Weakness - Still

Bought UWM and QLD this morning with impunity. Up on both of those trades. I knew I had too much of a good thing when CALM hit 9%. Today it pulled back hard.

Things still look ok and I’m looking beyond this week’s trading action, not tomorrow or Friday.

I’m a little ticked though I missed the solars.

A couple of these firework stocks popped today PLNR, OWW.

I bought some PLUG trying to capitalize on the firework plays that haven’t really been working this week.

I sold FRPT with a slight loss before it fell apart this morning, then I see that it rallied eod to finish on the high of the day. That blows. The entire defense sector has been heating up with everything from LMT making a new all time high last week, GD flirting with all time high resistance, to TASR breaking a steep weekly trendline to the upside. In case you don’t know what FRPT does, they make bomb proof vehicles. So if this sector is moving FRPT theoretically should pop because its heavily shorted and tends to pop rather large when it does. The Russia situation is helping this sector as well.

RTK maybe setting up here again. Daily BB’s pinched.

I’m still thinking the market will move higher from here or Friday or whenever.

I called the bottom in QCOM back in 2006 and I think MRVL has bottomed for awhile based on the charts.

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